July 2, 2024 In the interest of seeing lower interest rates, we have had some hits and misses in the past few months. Two months ago, we had a moderate jobs report, but stronger than expected inflation numbers. Last month we had a strong jobs report but weaker than expected inflation numbers. Thus, we now […]
Read More
June 25, 2024 The Federal Reserve Board has always been very careful regarding making public statements that will affect the markets. As a matter of fact, in years past the Fed was much more clandestine regarding their opinions to avoid roiling investors. So much so that there were complaints about the Fed not being open […]
Read More
June 18, 2024 Last week we had a meeting of the Federal Reserve Board’s Open Market Committee and the release of the latest inflation data. Curious about the direction of interest rates? These two events represent bellwethers in this regard. We are looking to the Fed for signals as to when they might take their […]
Read More
June 11, 2024 As we pointed out last week, this is a very busy period for consequential economic news. First, we had the jobs report this past Friday. This report took on additional importance after we finally had more moderate jobs growth in April. So how did we do in May? The economy created 277,000 […]
Read More
June 4, 2024 The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets again next week. Some months ago, market analysts were 50/50 on a bet regarding a decrease in short-term rates at the Fed’s June meeting. Then came some very strong jobs reports and also some stronger-than-expected inflation news, causing the odds to drop below 25%. […]
Read More
May 28, 2024 We hope you all had a great Memorial Day weekend. With the weather seemingly getting warmer every year, it seems like summer vibes come earlier every year as well. Of course, we are used to that in the real estate industry because Memorial Day is typically the start of real estate summer. […]
Read More
May 21, 2024 It is hard to admit that we are rooting for poorer economic conditions. Less job growth, lower consumer confidence, slower service sector growth, tepid retail sales and more. But if you are a fan of lower interest rates, that is exactly what we need to see in order to bring inflation down […]
Read More
It was just early last year that the markets introduced the concept of higher interest rates for a “longer period of time.” With the economy continuing to grow briskly and inflation coming down, but at a slower pace, there was no reason for the Federal Reserve to rush things. Thus, we pushed off predictions for […]
Read More
If the Federal Reserve is waiting for the economy to slow down before it eases interest rates, there is no doubt that they are watching the monthly jobs report for a significant clue. Thus far this year, there has been no sign that the economy is producing less jobs each month. The pace of the […]
Read More