September 24, 2024 It has been a full two and one-half years since the Federal Reserve started raising interest rates in reaction to the post-pandemic inflation surge. While many expected inflation to react immediately to the Fed’s medicine, the period of higher rates became very drawn out as inflation showed its stubbornness. Thus, the use […]
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September 17, 2024 We have received news that the job market has slowed down – including a major downward revision of jobs over the past year to the tune of 818,000 jobs. We have seen major progress on the war against inflation. The most recent consumer price index came in at 0.2 % monthly and […]
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September 10, 2024 In exactly one week, the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee will be meeting and contemplating lowering short-term interest rates. For the past several weeks, the markets have been counting on the first decrease in rates since the Fed started the cycle of raising interest rates in March of 2022. All indications have […]
Read More September 3, 2024 We are in the middle of bookend labor events this week. We started out with Labor Day on Monday, a time for celebrating the American workers who have made our country a world leader. We will then close the week with the employment report for the month of August. Both events are […]
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August 27, 2024 Mortgage interest rates have already moved significantly lower over the past several weeks. Where they move from here will be determined by many factors – not the least of which is the next jobs report to be released next week. After the weaker report for the month of July another tepid or […]
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August 20, 2024 The war on inflation has been a long-drawn-out affair. From a low of 1.23% during the height of the pandemic in 2020, inflation rose to 4.71% in 2022 and peaked at 8.00% in 2022. During the past 12 months, inflation has averaged approximately 3.0%, a drop of over 100% from the peak […]
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August 13, 2024 At the very beginning of the year, we discussed factors that would affect the markets and interest rates in 2024. There were plenty of factors to discuss—from economic growth to the progress against inflation. Most of those factors were “up in the air” – for example, we had no idea how long […]
Read More August 6, 2024 We have a very busy few weeks of economic news. While the stock market was reaching record highs in July, the month closed with some important news. As July came to a close, the initial reading of economic growth for the second quarter was released. The 2.8% growth rate was seen as […]
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July 30, 2024 For most of last year, it was apparent that the Federal Reserve wanted the economy to stop growing so fast. Though you would never hear them say that they were trying to force us into a recession, certainly forecasters were predicting a recession. But the recession never came as the economy and […]
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July 23, 2024 A few months ago, we delineated the reasons that listings would start to grow after several years of real estate purchase prospects not being able to find a house. These reasons included long-term demographic factors such as baby boomers wanting to age in place, but finally aging out of their homes. They […]
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