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Optimism Versus Uncertainty

February 21, 2017

During the past few months we have had a very solid rally in the stock market, which has been accompanied by higher interest rates. Certainly, the economic results that have been released have not changed that much during that period, and thus we can conclude that the changes in the markets are not because of a change in fundamentals. This conclusion is not surprising, because often the markets trade on feelings rather than results.

We do know that the change in psychology is due to a change in leadership. New leadership and new policies bring a lot of uncertainty to the table. Generally, the markets do not like uncertainty. On the other hand, it is not unusual for optimism to trump uncertainty (excuse the pun). If the markets are optimistic that the changes will help the economy, high stock prices and higher rates are justified. Of course, it does help that the economy is already heading in the right direction.

As slow as it has been, the recovery has seen a precipitous drop in the unemployment rate and a net gain of several million jobs. Revving up an economy which is already growing requires much less energy, as opposed to turning around an economy. And that is what is likely making the markets more optimistic. It is unusual to apply stimulus to a growing economy, as opposed to moving an economy out of recession. On the other hand, too much stimulus to a growing economy could stimulate inflation, and this is the risk which is supporting higher rates. Remember, the markets are not always right regarding what will happen, because there is no way of accurately predicting the future.

Source: Origination Pro

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Testimonials

Ninfa Brusca

Philip and Benny Loria were very knowledgeable and professional. They exceeded all our expectations and were a pleasure to work with. They were both were just genuinely nice guys. They listened to all our concerns and did everything in their power to accommodate our needs and make feel comfortable throughout the whole mortgage process. I recommend Amerimutual Mortgage to anyone who is looking for a mortgage.

Tuckahoe, NY

Joe D.

Philip Loria made the mortgage process quick and easy, and also found ways to save us money. He was always on top of things, very accessible, and his communication is top notch. I will recommend Philip Loria and Amerimutual Mortgage highly to any of my friends, family or colleagues.

Long Island, NY

Lenny P.

Richard, I wanted to thank you for all your help and hard work. I am so glad our refinance was a success. You were very diligent and dedicated to getting me the best rate possible. I truly enjoyed working with you and will recommend your services to all our friends and family.

Rye, New York
Occupation: Real Estate Development

Nick Tsatsaronis

Philip Loria, assisted me with my refinance. Thank you so much for all of your time and hard work. You made refinancing my house easy and stress free. I wouldn’t recommend anyone else. I will definitely use Amerimutual Mortgage for any future needs, and recommend them to anyone who needs a mortgage.

Flushing, NY

Vincent M.

I can’t express enough my gratitude to Richard Jamesley for walking me through the whole refinance process and keeping me informed every step of the way. Richard explained every step in detail, was very communicative, diligent, and prompt. We would definitely recommend you to our friends & anyone needing a mortgage.

Whitestone, NY
Occupation – Contractor

Dominick P.

Being a first time home buyer, the process was very foreign to me. Richard Jamesley could not have been more helpful and patient along the way. He explained every step in detail, was professional, straight to the point, and helped me with all aspects of buying my home. He was always there to answer any of my questions. Not only did he make the process quite easy , he helped to get me a great interest rate. I recommend Richard Jamesley without reservation. Amerimutual Mortgage will be my first and only call if I buy another house.

Bayville, Long Island, NY

Salvatore L.

Philip, I would like to thank you for carefully walking me through the loan process and calming my fears and uncertainties. Philip was very professional and his expert advice was critical to my success. You went above and beyond and kept me well informed. I highly recommend you and your company to everyone seeking financing for their property.

Beechhurst, NY
Occupation – Real Estate Manager

Rocco Buffolino

As a first time home buyer it was nice to have people as helpful as Philip Loria and Benny Loria. Our experience was wonderful. Philip was very knowledgeable, professional, and demonstrated an expertise which put us at ease during the purchase of our home. He took the time to answer all our questions and we feel he went above and beyond for us. I highly recommend Amerimutual Mortgage.

Westbury, New York

Carol Gudura

Richard Jamesley was a pleasure to work with. He is very smart, helpful and just willing to help in any way he could. Richard helped walk me through each step of the process and kept me well informed. He is a true asset to you company.

Malba, NY

George Poulakis

My refinance experience with Amerimutual Mortgage and their affiliates was above expectations.  Amerimutual Mortgage knows what they are doing and provides excellent customer service. Thank you all so much for all of your time and hard work.

College Point, New York
Occupation – Electrician

Eli N.

Benny and Phil were great to work with! they assisted us in every aspect of the process even when it wasn’t their job. They explained every step and guided/advised us on the best course of action. Their fees were more than fair and their integrity was at a level far above ANY lawyer or mortgage broker we have ever dealt with.

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