The Inauguration
January 24, 2017 We now have a new President to go along with a new Congress. During the past year or so, we have endured what can only be described as an excruciatingly long election season mired in controversy and then even more controversy leading up to this time. With all this has come an […]
Read MoreWhere The Real Estate Market Stands
January 17, 2017 Last week we focused upon the employment situation in the long-term — looking back at 2016 and for the past eight to ten years. If there is one economic indicator which rivals the importance of the employment situation, it is real estate. Looking back, the real estate boom contributed to the great […]
Read MoreThe Employment Situation
January 10, 2017. We just saw the last unemployment report of 2016. The December numbers came in at 156,000 jobs added for the month, which was a bit lower than expected–but the previous two months were revised upward by almost 20,000. The unemployment rate came in at 4.7%, as expected. Wage growth came in higher […]
Read MorePredictions For 2017
January 3, 2017. The predictions for 2017 are all over the board with regard to the economy and the housing market in particular. While major variations always exist, this year the predictions vary more widely because of two major factors. First, we have a new administration being installed and we still don’t know what policies […]
Read MoreWhere We Stand
December 27, 2016. In our 30 years of writing this economic commentary, the one constant we can say about the economy is change. And there is no doubt that the rate of change has accelerated over the years. We had a huge housing boom just over 10 years ago, followed by a severe recession and […]
Read MoreThe Deed is Done
December 20, 2016. The Federal Reserve Board has spoken. The increase of .25% in short-term interest rates surprised absolutely nobody. However, the markets did not like the statement accompanying the increase which alluded to as much as three rate hikes in 2017. Of course, last year they talked about the same thing and we had […]
Read MoreThe Speculation Will End
December 13, 2016. The speculation will end. Almost. While most everybody is expecting an increase in short-term rates by the Federal Reserve Board’s Open Market Committee, there are two questions that remain. First, by how much will the Fed raise rates? If you have asked this question just a month ago, the prevalent answer would […]
Read MoreLast Big Data
Last week we had the last big data releases before the Federal Reserve Board’s Open Market Committee meets next week. This data included the first revision of the 3rd Quarter economic growth and personal income and spending. These reports came in on the strong side, with the economic growth revised higher and personal income and […]
Read MoreAre Higher Rates Good News?
November 29, 2016 The biggest news with regard to the markets since the election has been the spike in long-term interest rates. The stock market has been rising as well, but there seems to have been a greater reaction on the bond market side. First, before anyone pins these trends to the surprise results of […]
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