November 17, 2020 The election is over, and the analysts have spent two weeks telling us what the results mean. The stock market rallied just before and after the election was called, but we don’t know if that was just the euphoria of uncertainty being removed, or the start of a longer-term rally — especially […]
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October 20, 2020 Could anyone had predicted one year ago that a major topic in Presidential debates and campaigns would revolve around mask-wearing? It has been that crazy of a year. We actually started the year with some semblance of normalcy, at least for a Presidential election year. But in late winter the entire world […]
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October 13, 2020 Previously, we mentioned that there will be no more monthly jobs reports before the Presidential Election. In addition, the Federal Reserve Board’s Open Market Committee will not be meeting in November. Coincidentally, they meet again the day after the election. Thus, this period is sometimes known as the quiet period before the […]
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July 28, 2020 We have just finished one of — if not the weakest — quarter in history. The corona virus is still raging. Millions have lost their jobs. Yet the stock market continues to rise, recovering from its lows hit early this year. Thus, the question is — why? There are many possible explanations […]
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June 30, 2020 Most economies have reopened to some degree. And several states have seen a surge in infections at the same time. From this, we can conclude one thing — the virus is not taking the summer off as some had speculated might happen. On the other hand, can we say that the reopenings […]
Read MoreMarch 24, 2020 Believe it or not, we started the year quite smoothly. Yes, we were expecting some excitement due to the fact that we had a Presidential election coming our way. Little did we know that the primaries would take a back-seat to something much larger. It took just a few weeks to go […]
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March 10, 2020 Even before we saw the jobs report, the Federal Reserve decided to step in with an “emergency” rate cut in response to the coronavirus crisis before their next scheduled meeting. Even though we have not seen many negative reports on the economy, the Fed saw what was on the horizon. The only […]
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July 2, 2019 The celebration of July 4th tells us that one-half of 2019 is over. That is a sobering thought for those who believe that time is going too fast. It has certainly been a very interesting first half of the year. Thus far we have seen a very volatile, but positive, stock market; […]
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January 8, 2019 Actually, the data is from 2018, but it is the most significant data thus far released in 2019. On Friday, the jobs numbers showed the addition of 312,000 jobs last month, more than making up for a miss the previous month. In addition, the previous two months’ numbers were revised upward by […]
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August 28, 2018 Borrowing from the name of a classic movie title, it seems like the focus upon trade keeps moving around the world. From Canada to Europe to China to Turkey. Thus far, we have not seen any negative effect upon economic growth. Tomorrow we will see the first revision of the measure of […]
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