April 16, 2019 At the first of the year we published a range of forecasts. This included the predictions for interest rates in 2019. These predictions were summarized by MarketWatch — For 2019, Market Watch reviewed the predictions of rates on home loans by several major economists. The range was an annual average of between 4.8% to 5.3% […]
Read More
April 9, 2019 A few weeks ago, we had a one-day precipitous drop in the stock market which was blamed on the appearance of an inverted yield curve, which for some analysts signals that a recession can be on the horizon. This begs two questions. First, what is an inverted yield curve? Simply, an inversion […]
Read More
April 2, 2019 At the end of this week, the job numbers for March will be released. With these numbers we will see proof of one of two directions. The first could be that the dismal jobs numbers in February were just an anomaly. January’s job growth was reported as very strong and when you […]
Read More
March 26, 2019 The end of March not only brings us springtime, it also represents the closing of the first quarter of the year. And it has been a very interesting quarter. For example, stocks have quieted down a bit from a very volatile fourth quarter. They have also made up plenty of ground in […]
Read MoreMarch 19, 2019 A bit over one week after the February jobs report, the Federal Reserve Board convenes today to determine the present and future of monetary policy. As far as the analysts are concerned, there is not much concern about the present. There is no action expected to be announced with regard to the […]
Read More
March 12, 2019 This does not always happen, but Friday’s job report came just in time for the Federal Reserve Board to analyze the data and act on it during their next meeting which starts one-week from today. Before data was released, most analysts were predicting no action to be taken at this meeting. As […]
Read More
February 26, 2019 This is not a leap year, so February is a very short month. It seems like it just started, but February is ending in two days. For most of us dealing with snow and cold, we are pretty happy to be saying goodbye to February. Government workers are especially happy as they […]
Read More
February 19, 2019 When we entered 2019, we were dealing with a government shutdown, interest rates that were supposed to rise, a nervous stock market and a slowing economy. There was a lot of pessimism running in the veins of economists and market analysts. The question is–was this pessimism justified? Well, let’s start by reviewing […]
Read More
February 12, 2019 Analysts are still assessing the economic reverberations of the government shutdown. The Congressional Budget Office released the official tally at a whopping eleven billion dollars, but we wonder what secondary and tertiary effects may have multiplied the costs. It is certainly hard to measure the psychological damage that was done. Even the […]
Read More
January 29, 2019 Tomorrow the Federal Reserve Board releases their decision on rates after their first meeting of 2019. Based upon comments made by members after their increase in December, there is little possibility of another increase in January and only a slightly greater possibility during their next meeting in March. The comments continually talked […]
Read More